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Pharmaceutical

Project Review—Large Animal Supply Chain Analysis

Client
A Global Pharmaceutical Firm

Situation

Over the past three years the firms Safety Sciences (SS) department faced a dramatic cost increase of 20-30% per year for its large animal supply chain, with no end in site. This left SS facing an un-acceptable cost business model due to:
• The sole source supplier of the large animals increased the prices at an alarming rate
• The Company’s mergers and growth caused an increase of large animal Safety Science studies
• Reorganization and budget pressures hi-lighted the significant global costs for large animals.
• To help better plan for the future, SS needed a better methodology for predicting the required number of Safety Science studies, and the subsequent demand for large animals.
• Shortages in the large animal supply chain could result in delayed studies and NDA filings.
• SS needed to find ways to reduce the risk of using a sole source for its scarce large animals

Events

Interphex – Puerto Rico
Feb 16-17, 2006

IIR & PDMA Strategic and Operational Portfolio Management
Feb 27 – Mar 1, 2006

Interphex – New York
March 21-23, 2006

Objectives
• Help evaluate changes to the large animal supply chain that would reduce costs while maintaining zero delays in study starts.
• Analyze the impact of multiple supply chain sourcing options
• Provide a methodology to rapidly model portfolio shifts and their impact on the supply chain.

Solution
The solution included a computer simulation application that integrated a detailed supply chain model with a high-level strategic portfolio model This enabled the firm to use high level Global R&D portfolio projections to help manage the large animal supply chain.
Portfolio Simulator was used to simulate the company’s global portfolio of drug candidates moving through the discovery and development process, in order to predict the future requirements for Safety Science studies.
The estimated SS Study requirements are then used as the input to a detailed large animal supply chain model that includes all animal inventory, animal breeding and global study sites.
The solution was validated to be 90% accurate when compared to historical data.

Results
Tangible benefits:
• Allowed the company to prove the feasibility of a new combination of supply chain sources and distribution centers resulting in a cost savings of more than $4,000,000 annually.
• Aided with the planning of a revised supplier contract which resulted in a 60% reduction in “daily storage cost.”

Intangible benefits:
• For the first time, client has the ability to accurately forecast global large animal demand for 5 year time horizons.
• Helped facilitate the right organizational changes.
• Provide confidence that the changes would result in no projected delays due to a shortage of animals.
• Provided a viable methodology to help with yearly analysis of global large animal safety study requirements and management of its supplier’s contractual obligations.
• Created a better understanding of the relationship between Therapeutic Area (TA) studies and large animal requirements.

The results of the simulation solution can be displayed in a variety of visual and meaningful ways. The above chart, just one of many possible output display selections from this solution, shows the actual large animal usage for 2004 and 2005 with the vertical bars. The predicted usage from the model is indicated by the horizontal lines. The center line indicates the simulated usage, and the top and bottom lines indicate the potential variation from the simulated requirements due to real life factors such as changes in the number of studies, or the number of animals required for a study.

ROI Range

 


ProModel is proud to announce the release of Portfolio Simulator 5.2.
Available immediately to all licensed Portfolio Simulator 5.X users. Portfolio Simulator continues to redefine the project portfolio management space through easy-to-use predictive technology. With this release, Portfolio Simulator adds:

• Sensitivity Scenarios
• Turn off “survival” checkbox in Scenario Manager
• Auto Backup
• Distribution Builder: Visualize the distribution
• Disk Usage Reduction
• (Optional)Dates Shown with Time….and more

To view more release details click here: Portfolio Simulator 5.2 detailed release notes.